The 2008 College Football Season
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Topic(s): me
2009-01-05 00:46:31 US/Pacific
How is your college football bowl game pick 'em doing this year? Probably better than the computers that are used to select the national champion.
With three bowl games remaining, only two of the six computers have a chance to be above 50%. Three have a chance to reach exactly 50%. One is already guaranteed to be below 50%. Most likely, all will be below 50% after the bowl season has concluded.
View the results on this web site that I put together: www.bcscomp.com.
I had intended to put that web site together about five years ago. Finally, the crazy college football season this year gave me the extra motivation necessary to finally do it.
What a crazy college football season it has been. The national champion is guaranteed to be one of Oklahoma and Florida. Both have one loss already. If Oklahoma wins the national championship game, their one loss will have been to the current #3 team (Texas) by ten points on a neutral field. Texas also has just one loss and in many respects deserves the national championship more than Oklahoma.
More deserving than both Oklahoma, Texas, and Florida is Utah. Utah is the only undefeated team in college football. They have beaten two top-ten teams this season, more than Oklahoma and Florida combined. Sadly, due to the system in place, Utah has no chance at being crowned the national champion.
What system you ask? The system that uses computers that predict winners with less than 50% accuracy.
Pulled eFingers: |
ngan — 2009-01-05 13:12:36 US/Pacific —oh wow! that's worst than throwing darts to pick the winner. |
steve — 2009-01-08 22:27:54 US/Pacific —All finished below 50%, with the lowest at 41%. Granted these games are designed to be exciting and competitive, matching closely ranked opponents. Still, I'd expect at least 60% accuracy. |
Eric — 2009-01-09 16:12:03 US/Pacific —I emailed one of them (Billingsley). He agreed it's pretty bad and should be better. He blames the BCS for limiting the computer polls' input to winner-loser. They should have more input such as margin of victory. I agree with him. |
Exercise Your eFinger: |
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